Seed Madness is a comprehensive computerized compilation of information used to predict the 68 teams and their seedings for the NCAA Basketball Tournament. Using game results for a particular year, Seed Madness creates 3 tables of information. 1) The Bubble Watch - a list of teams competing for those precious few remaining spots available for selection. 2) The Top 68 - a list of the expected 68 teams and their ranking. 3) The Seedings - the predicted seedings and regions each team is expected to receive from the committee. *** FINAL BRACKET ***
Selection Sunday Countdown
Games through 3/17/2013 at 4:36:10 PM CDT
Rank
Team
Over
Rec
Conf
Conf
Rec
L 10
Rec
T 50
Rec
W/L
Str
RPI
OOC
SOS
1
 Louisville
29-5
BE
14-4
10-0
10-4
10
3
26
2
 Gonzaga
31-2
WCC
16-0
10-0
6-2
14
6
33
3
 Indiana
27-6
B10
14-4
7-3
9-6
-1
8
63
4
 Miami FL
27-6
ACC
15-3
7-3
8-2
4
4
4
5
 Duke
27-5
ACC
14-4
7-3
9-2
-1
1
1
6
 Kansas
29-5
B12
14-4
9-1
13-3
3
5
17
7
 Ohio St.
26-7
B10
13-5
9-1
8-7
8
10
134
8
 Georgetown
25-6
BE
14-4
8-2
9-4
-1
11
164
9
 New Mexico
29-5
MWC
13-3
9-1
10-3
3
2
3
10
 Florida
26-7
SEC
14-4
6-4
5-4
-1
7
7
11
 Michigan St.
25-8
B10
13-5
6-4
8-8
-1
9
50
12
 Syracuse
26-9
BE
11-7
5-5
6-8
-1
14
105
13
 Wisconsin
23-11
B10
12-6
6-4
8-8
-1
32
145
14
 Michigan
26-7
B10
12-6
5-5
8-6
-1
21
187
15
 St. Louis
27-6
A10
13-3
9-1
7-2
4
16
111
16
 Marquette
23-8
BE
14-4
7-3
7-6
-1
13
84
17
 Kansas St.
27-7
B12
14-4
8-2
6-7
-1
20
154
18
 Virginia Commonwealth
26-8
A10
12-4
7-3
3-7
-1
24
45
19
 Butler
26-8
A10
11-5
6-4
6-6
-1
22
48
20
 Notre Dame
25-9
BE
11-7
6-4
5-6
-1
35
265
21
 Oregon
26-8
P12
12-6
7-3
4-3
3
47
246
22
 UCLA
25-9
P12
13-5
7-3
5-4
-1
26
53
23
 Arizona
25-7
P12
12-6
5-5
6-5
-1
15
27
24
 North Carolina
24-10
ACC
12-6
8-2
2-8
-1
17
69
25
 Nevada Las Vegas
25-9
MWC
10-6
7-3
7-6
-1
23
73
26
 Oklahoma St.
24-8
B12
13-5
7-3
6-6
-1
27
102
27
 North Carolina St.
24-10
ACC
11-7
7-3
3-6
-1
33
80
28
 Colorado St.
25-8
MWC
11-5
6-4
3-7
-1
18
108
29
 Memphis
30-4
CUSA
16-0
9-1
3-3
6
12
59
30
 Missouri
23-10
SEC
11-7
6-4
4-5
-1
36
81
31
 Illinois
22-12
B10
8-10
6-4
6-9
-1
40
41
32
 Pittsburgh
24-8
BE
12-6
7-3
4-7
-1
43
270
33
 Cincinnati
22-11
BE
9-9
4-6
5-9
-1
50
168
34
 San Diego St.
22-10
MWC
9-7
5-5
5-8
-1
30
82
35
 Creighton
27-7
MVC
13-5
7-3
4-3
5
25
51
36
 Iowa St.
22-11
B12
11-7
6-4
4-8
-1
45
137
37
 Temple
23-9
A10
11-5
8-2
4-3
-1
41
66
38
 Boise St.
21-10
MWC
9-7
6-4
4-7
-1
44
202
39
 St. Mary's
27-6
WCC
14-2
8-2
1-3
-1
29
112
40
 Wichita St.
26-8
MVC
12-6
7-3
3-2
-1
37
68
41
 Colorado
21-11
P12
10-8
6-4
4-4
-1
38
37
42
 Oklahoma
20-11
B12
11-7
6-4
3-7
-2
39
24
43
 Minnesota
20-12
B10
8-10
3-7
5-8
-3
34
13
44
 Mississippi
26-8
SEC
12-6
8-2
3-3
5
48
272
45
 Belmont
26-6
OVC
14-2
8-2
1-2
6
19
2
46
 Bucknell
28-5
Pat
12-2
9-1
1-1
7
51
156
47
 La Salle
21-9
A10
11-5
7-3
2-4
-2
46
100
48
 California
20-11
P12
12-6
7-3
5-5
-2
54
49
49
 Villanova
20-13
BE
10-8
6-4
5-8
-1
52
157
50
 Middle Tennessee
28-5
SB
19-1
9-1
1-3
-1
28
9
51
 Akron
26-6
MAC
14-2
8-2
1-2
2
42
57
52
 New Mexico St.
24-10
WAC
14-4
8-2
1-2
5
55
15
53
 Valparaiso
26-7
Horz
13-3
9-1
0-2
6
58
219
54
 Davidson
26-7
SC
17-1
10-0
0-3
17
61
16
55
 Montana
25-6
BSky
19-1
8-2
0-1
6
74
21
56
 South Dakota St.
25-9
Sum
13-3
7-3
1-2
4
62
46
57
 Northwestern St.
23-8
Slnd
15-3
8-2
0-1
4
78
18
58
 Harvard
19-9
Ivy
11-3
7-3
0-3
2
92
43
59
 Florida Gulf Coast
24-10
ASun
13-5
8-2
1-3
5
93
25
60
 Pacific
22-12
BW
13-5
8-2
1-2
7
97
6
61
 Iona
20-13
MAAC
11-7
6-4
0-1
5
98
87
62
 Albany
24-10
AE
9-7
7-3
0-1
3
131
314
63
 Western Kentucky
20-15
SB
10-10
7-3
0-5
4
150
130
64
 Southern
23-9
SWAC
15-3
8-2
0-1
3
180
217
65
 Long Island
20-13
NEC
12-6
8-2
0-0
5
179
327
66
 James Madison
20-14
CAA
11-7
7-3
0-1
4
182
295
67
 North Carolina A&T
19-16
MEAC
8-8
6-4
0-2
4
213
250
68
 Liberty
15-20
BSth
6-10
7-3
0-2
5
287
225
Indiana Miami FL Louisville Gonzaga
Duke Kansas Ohio St. Georgetown
Florida New Mexico St. Louis Michigan St.
Syracuse Michigan Wisconsin Marquette
Virginia Commonwealth Notre Dame Kansas St. Butler
Arizona UCLA North Carolina Oregon
Oklahoma St. Illinois Nevada Las Vegas North Carolina St.
Memphis Missouri Temple Colorado St.
St. Mary's Boise St. San Diego St. Creighton
Pittsburgh Cincinnati Iowa St. Oklahoma
Minnesota Wichita St. Colorado Mississippi
Belmont La Salle / Middle Tennessee Bucknell California / Villanova
Davidson Valparaiso Akron New Mexico St.
Harvard Northwestern St. South Dakota St. Montana
Iona Florida Gulf Coast Albany Pacific
Southern Western Kentucky Long Island / Liberty James Madison / North Carolina A&T
2013 Conference Tournament Schedule
Conference Date Place Winner
Atlantic 10 3/17/2013 Brooklyn, NY St. Louis
ACC 3/17/2013 Greensboro, NC Miami FL
America East 3/16/2013 Albany, NY Albany
Atlantic Sun 3/9/2013 Macon, GA Florida Gulf Coast
Big Ten 3/17/2013 Chicago, IL Ohio St.
Big 12 3/16/2013 Kansas City, MO Kansas
Big East 3/16/2013 New York, NY Louisville
Big Sky 3/16/2013 Season Champ Montana
Big South 3/10/2013 Conway, SC Liberty
Big West 3/16/2013 Anaheim, CA Pacific
Colonial 3/11/2013 Richmond, VA James Madison
C-USA 3/16/2013 Tulsa, OK Memphis
Horizon 3/12/2013 Highest Seed Valparaiso
Ivy League Harvard
MAAC 3/11/2013 Springfield, MA Iona
Mid American 3/16/2013 Cleveland, OH Akron
MEAC 3/16/2013 Norfolk, VA North Carolina A&T
Missouri Valley 3/10/2013 St. Louis, MO Creighton
Mountain West 3/16/2013 Las Vegas, NV New Mexico
Northeast 3/12/2013 Highest Seed Long Island
Ohio Valley 3/9/2013 Nashville, TN Belmont
Pac 12 3/16/2013 Las Vegas, NV Oregon
Patriot 3/13/2013 Highest Seed Bucknell
Sun Belt 3/11/2013 Hot Springs, AR Western Kentucky
Southern 3/11/2013 Asheville, NC Davidson
SEC 3/17/2013 Nashville, TN Mississippi
Southland 3/16/2013 Katy, TX Northwestern St.
Summit 3/12/2013 Sioux Falls, SD South Dakota St.
SWAC 3/16/2013 Garland, TX Southern
WAC 3/16/2013 Las Vegas, NV New Mexico St.
West Coast 3/11/2013 Las Vegas, NV Gonzaga

Hot Links

Ken Pomeroy for the scores of all games between 2003 and 2013 as without this valuable information this site would not be possible.
Website: http://kenpom.com/rate.php
Scores: http://kenpom.com/cbbga13.txt

Jay Coleman of the University of North Florida, Mike DuMond of Charles River Associates, and Allen Lynch of Mercer University for their website DanceCard. Their findings inspired the idea to expand on their thinking by developing a probability formula and computerized seeding process.
Website: http://www.unf.edu/~jcoleman/dance.htm

The NCAA for providing the Principles and Procedures for Establishing the Bracket (pdf) which was followed as closely as possible to establish computerized criteria to select and seed teams.
Website: http://www.ncaa.com/sports/m-baskbl/champpage/m-baskbl-div1-index.html
(pdf): http://www.ncaa.com/sites/default/files/files/BracketPrin-Proc10-5-10.pdf

Jerry P. Palm for providing the official RPI formula. The computer for Seed Madness calculates RPI using the formula provided. This calculation is a perfect match to the official calculation done by Mr. Palm that is provided to the NCAA selection committee for their use during selection weekend for which goes into the final product announced on Selection Sunday.
Website: http://collegerpi.com/

Other sites of interest

Bracket Science™ is a site dedicated to helping millions of fans fill out their bracket pools every year. It's got almost every statistic possible covering all the NCAA tournaments since the field expanded to 64 teams in 1985. Bracket Science™ was created by Pete Tiernan and contains a myriad of information and contests.
Website: http://www.bracketscience.com/

ESPN Bracketology with Joe Lunardi. Joe Lunardi is the resident bracketologist for ESPN. In fact, he invented Bracketology and has been projecting the NCAA Tournament field for ESPN.com since its inception.
Website: http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/bracketology

The Bracket Project - The 2013 Bracket Matrix. A Look at the Projected 2013 NCAA Basketball Tournament Bracket. The Matrix tracks other brackets all across the web -- updated everyday.
Website: http://bracketproject.50webs.com/

warrennolan.com Real time updates of scores and statistics including RPI and SOS. Lots of predictions included.
Website: http://www.warrennolan.com/basketball/2013/index

* Please note that the seedings above may vary slightly from the official seedings due to an attempt to follow the NCAA's Principles and Procedures concerning conference balance while filling out regions. The actual predicted seed of each team is listed in the Top 68 rankings on the left.
Distance to the Regionals

We are tracking the top seeds and the distance they are from the regional sites. We will take the number 1 team in the nation and put them in the closest site to their campus and proceed to do the same for 2 - 16. Here is how it all looks as of today.

1-Louisville 2-Gonzaga 3-Indiana 4-Miami FL
Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles
Louisville-Washington, DC 471 Spokane-Washington, DC 2094 Bloomington-Washington, DC 509 Miami-Washington, DC 928
Louisville-Dallas 727 Spokane-Dallas 1488 Bloomington-Dallas 685 Miami-Dallas 1107
Louisville-Indianapolis 115 Spokane-Indianapolis 1638 Bloomington-Indianapolis 52 Miami-Indianapolis 1032
Louisville-Los Angeles 1832 Spokane-Los Angeles 943 Bloomington-Los Angeles 1789 Miami-Los Angeles 2335
                     
5-Duke 6-Kansas 7-Ohio St. 8-Georgetown
Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles
Durham-Washington, DC 225 Lawrence-Washington, DC 979 Columbus-Washington, DC 326 Washington, DC-Washington, DC 0
Durham-Dallas 1043 Lawrence-Dallas 434 Columbus-Dallas 914 Washington, DC-Dallas 1182
Durham-Indianapolis 476 Lawrence-Indianapolis 490 Columbus-Indianapolis 167 Washington, DC-Indianapolis 491
Durham-Los Angeles 2219 Lawrence-Los Angeles 1320 Columbus-Los Angeles 1978 Washington, DC-Los Angeles 2298
                     
9-New Mexico 10-Florida 11-Michigan St. 12-Syracuse
Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles
Albuquerque-Washington, DC 1648 Gainesville-Washington, DC 707 East Lansing-Washington, DC 471 Syracuse-Washington, DC 290
Albuquerque-Dallas 585 Gainesville-Dallas 881 East Lansing-Dallas 960 Syracuse-Dallas 1325
Albuquerque-Indianapolis 1168 Gainesville-Indianapolis 737 East Lansing-Indianapolis 217 Syracuse-Indianapolis 562
Albuquerque-Los Angeles 667 Gainesville-Los Angeles 2122 East Lansing-Los Angeles 1914 Syracuse-Los Angeles 2236
                     
13-Wisconsin 14-Michigan 15-St. Louis 16-Marquette
Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles
Madison-Washington, DC 706 Ann Arbor-Washington, DC 422 St Louis-Washington, DC 714 Milwaukee-Washington, DC 637
Madison-Dallas 816 Ann Arbor-Dallas 968 St Louis-Dallas 544 Milwaukee-Dallas 856
Madison-Indianapolis 278 Ann Arbor-Indianapolis 208 St Louis-Indianapolis 237 Milwaukee-Indianapolis 239
Madison-Los Angeles 1671 Ann Arbor-Los Angeles 1947 St Louis-Los Angeles 1585 Milwaukee-Los Angeles 1742
                     
Bubble Watch
IN/OUT
Rank
Team
Overall
Record
Conf
Conf
Record
Last 10
Record
Top 50
Record
W/L
Streak
RPI
OOC
SOS
IN
30
 Wichita St.
26-8
MVC
12-6
7-3
3-2
-1
37
68
IN
31
 Colorado
21-11
P12
10-8
6-4
4-4
-1
38
37
IN
32
 Oklahoma
20-11
B12
11-7
6-4
3-7
-2
39
24
IN
33
 Minnesota
20-12
B10
8-10
3-7
5-8
-3
34
13
IN
34
 La Salle
21-9
A10
11-5
7-3
2-4
-2
46
100
IN
35
 California
20-11
P12
12-6
7-3
5-5
-2
54
49
IN
36
 Villanova
20-13
BE
10-8
6-4
5-8
-1
52
157
IN
37
 Middle Tennessee
28-5
SB
19-1
9-1
1-3
-1
28
9
OUT
38
 Massachusetts
21-11
A10
9-7
5-5
2-7
-1
56
71
OUT
39
 Tennessee
20-12
SEC
11-7
8-2
3-5
-1
59
44
OUT
40
 Kentucky
21-11
SEC
12-6
5-5
3-4
-1
57
58
OUT
41
 Southern Mississippi
25-9
CUSA
12-4
7-3
0-5
-1
31
77
OUT
42
 Alabama
21-12
SEC
12-6
6-4
0-6
-1
60
78
OUT
43
 Charlotte
21-11
A10
8-8
4-6
2-6
-1
68
238
OUT
44
 Stephen F. Austin
27-4
Slnd
16-2
8-2
1-0
-1
66
199
OUT
45
 Louisiana Tech
26-6
WAC
16-2
7-3
1-0
-3
53
223
In The Mix
IN/OUT
Rank
Team
Overall
Record
Conf
Conf
Record
Last 10
Record
Top 50
Record
W/L
Streak
RPI
OOC
SOS
OUT
46
 Baylor
18-14
B12
9-9
4-6
2-11
-1
70
47
OUT
47
 Maryland
22-12
ACC
8-10
5-5
3-5
-1
71
306
OUT
48
 Denver
21-9
WAC
16-2
9-1
0-2
-1
65
83
OUT
49
 Wyoming
19-13
MWC
4-12
3-7
2-10
-1
73
192
OUT
50
 Air Force
17-13
MWC
8-8
3-7
4-10
-1
79
255
OUT
51
 Iowa
21-12
B10
9-9
7-3
4-9
-1
81
312
OUT
52
 Brigham Young
21-11
WCC
10-6
5-5
0-6
-1
63
54
OUT
53
 Stanford
18-14
P12
9-9
4-6
1-10
-1
77
85
OUT
54
 Virginia
21-11
ACC
11-7
5-5
4-3
-1
76
305
OUT
55
 Ohio
24-9
MAC
14-2
7-3
0-6
-1
67
165
OUT
56
 Indiana St.
18-14
MVC
9-9
4-6
4-6
-1
72
19
OUT
57
 Saint Joseph's
18-13
A10
8-8
5-5
2-6
-1
82
128
OUT
58
 Detroit
20-12
Horz
12-4
6-4
1-5
-1
64
22
OUT
59
 Louisiana St.
19-12
SEC
9-9
6-4
1-6
-1
86
235
OUT
60
 Florida St.
18-15
ACC
9-9
5-5
1-9
-1
84
136
OUT
61
 Arkansas
19-13
SEC
10-8
5-5
3-6
-1
95
132
OUT
62
 Arizona St.
21-12
P12
9-9
3-7
3-6
-1
89
299
OUT
63
 Washington
18-15
P12
9-9
5-5
2-10
-1
88
94
OUT
64
 Eastern Kentucky
24-9
OVC
12-4
7-3
0-3
-1
69
215
OUT
65
 Xavier
17-14
A10
9-7
5-5
5-3
-2
87
76
CONFERENCE RPI RANKINGS
Rank
Conf
RPI
Bids
Rank
Conf
RPI
Bids
Rank
Conf
RPI
Bids
1
MWC
0.5803
5
11
CUSA
0.5165
1
21
BW
0.4747
1
2
B10
0.5772
7
12
Horz
0.5007
1
22
AE
0.4721
1
3
BE
0.5744
8
13
WAC
0.4997
1
23
Ivy
0.4683
1
4
ACC
0.5613
4
14
MAAC
0.4927
1
24
CAA
0.4669
1
5
B12
0.5581
5
15
SB
0.4903
2
25
Slnd
0.4629
1
6
P12
0.5550
5
16
OVC
0.4866
1
26
ASun
0.4593
1
7
A10
0.5480
5
17
Pat
0.4804
1
27
SC
0.4461
1
8
SEC
0.5420
3
18
MAC
0.4801
1
28
BSky
0.4413
1
9
MVC
0.5336
2
19
Sum
0.4793
1
29
BSth
0.4335
1
10
WCC
0.5288
2
20
NEC
0.4758
1
30
MEAC
0.4335
1
31
SWAC
0.4131
1
Last 4 In
La Salle
California
Villanova
Middle Tennessee
First 4 Out
Massachusetts
Tennessee
Kentucky
Southern Mississippi

Top 20 Lists

POINTS PER GAME
1-
  Northwestern St.
  81.0
2-
  Iona
  80.6
3-
  Indiana
  80.0
4-
  Iowa St.
  79.6
5-
  Long Island
  79.4
6-
  Duke
  78.2
7-
  Virginia Military Inst
  78.1
8-
  Houston
  78.1
9-
  Detroit
  78.1
10-
  Mississippi
  77.8
11-
  Gonzaga
  77.6
12-
  North Carolina St.
  77.5
13-
  Virginia Commonwealth
  77.3
14-
  North Carolina
  77.2
15-
  Belmont
  77.1
16-
  East Carolina
  77.0
17-
  Cal St. Fullerton
  76.5
18-
  Brigham Young
  76.5
19-
  Central Arkansas
  76.4
20-
  Missouri
  76.2
ALLOWED PER GAME
1-
  Stephen F. Austin
  51.0
2-
  Western Illinois
  52.7
3-
  Florida
  53.6
4-
  Virginia
  55.1
5-
  Savannah St.
  55.1
6-
  Pittsburgh
  55.4
7-
  North Dakota St.
  55.6
8-
  Denver
  55.7
9-
  Georgetown
  55.7
10-
  Wisconsin
  55.9
11-
  North Carolina Central
  56.7
12-
  Stony Brook
  56.9
13-
  Southern
  57.0
14-
  Bucknell
  57.5
15-
  Middle Tennessee
  57.7
16-
  Ohio St.
  57.9
17-
  Louisville
  57.9
18-
  St. Louis
  58.1
19-
  Mercer
  58.1
20-
  Wright St.
  58.2
MARGIN PER GAME
1-
  Gonzaga
  18.2
2-
  Florida
  17.9
3-
  Indiana
  17.5
4-
  Louisville
  15.5
5-
  Pittsburgh
  14.1
6-
  Weber St.
  14.1
7-
  Stephen F. Austin
  14.0
8-
  Kansas
  13.9
9-
  Middle Tennessee
  13.4
10-
  Belmont
  13.1
11-
  Duke
  12.8
12-
  Virginia Commonwealth
  12.5
13-
  Creighton
  12.2
14-
  Michigan
  12.2
15-
  St. Mary's
  12.0
16-
  Davidson
  11.5
17-
  Ohio St.
  11.3
18-
  North Dakota St.
  11.3
19-
  Southern Mississippi
  11.2
20-
  Syracuse
  11.2
WIN STREAK
1-
  Davidson
  17
2-
  Gonzaga
  14
3-
  Texas Southern
  12
4-
  Louisville
  10
5-
  Ohio St.
  8
6-
  Bucknell
  7
7-
  Pacific
  7
8-
  Belmont
  6
9-
  Memphis
  6
10-
  Montana
  6
11-
  Valparaiso
  6
12-
  Creighton
  5
13-
  Florida Gulf Coast
  5
14-
  Iona
  5
15-
  Liberty
  5
16-
  Long Island
  5
17-
  Mississippi
  5
18-
  New Mexico St.
  5
19-
  Arkansas Pine Bluff
  4
20-
  Cal St. Bakersfield
  4
LAST 10 GAMES
1-
  Davidson
  10-0
2-
  Gonzaga
  10-0
3-
  Louisville
  10-0
4-
  Texas Southern
  10-0
5-
  Bucknell
  9-1
6-
  Denver
  9-1
7-
  Kansas
  9-1
8-
  Memphis
  9-1
9-
  Middle Tennessee
  9-1
10-
  Mount St. Mary's
  9-1
11-
  New Mexico
  9-1
12-
  Norfolk St.
  9-1
13-
  Ohio St.
  9-1
14-
  St. Louis
  9-1
15-
  Valparaiso
  9-1
16-
  Weber St.
  9-1
17-
  Akron
  8-2
18-
  Arkansas Pine Bluff
  8-2
19-
  Belmont
  8-2
20-
  Boston University
  8-2


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