Seed Madness is a comprehensive computerized compilation of information used to predict the 68 teams and their seedings for the NCAA Basketball Tournament. Using game results for a particular year, Seed Madness creates 3 tables of information. 1) The Bubble Watch - a list of teams competing for those precious few remaining spots available for selection. 2) The Top 68 - a list of the expected 68 teams and their ranking. 3) The Seedings - the predicted seedings and regions each team is expected to receive from the committee. *** FINAL ***
Selection Sunday Countdown
Games through 3/16/2014 at 4:53:03 PM CDT
Rank
Team
Over
Rec
Conf
Conf
Rec
L 10
Rec
T 50
Rec
W/L
Str
RPI
OOC
SOS
1
Florida
32-2
SEC
18-0
10-0
10-2
26
1
21
2
Arizona
30-4
P12
15-3
7-3
11-3
-1
2
35
3
Wichita St.
34-0
MVC
18-0
10-0
3-0
34
4
28
4
Virginia
28-6
ACC
16-2
9-1
5-4
3
8
38
5
Kansas
24-9
B12
14-4
6-4
12-7
-1
3
1
6
Duke
26-8
ACC
13-5
7-3
6-5
-1
9
18
7
Iowa St.
26-7
B12
11-7
8-2
9-5
4
7
88
8
Michigan
25-8
B10
15-3
8-2
10-5
-1
11
87
9
Michigan St.
26-8
B10
12-6
6-4
7-6
3
18
86
10
Louisville
29-5
Amer
15-3
9-1
5-5
5
19
149
11
Wisconsin
26-7
B10
12-6
8-2
7-5
-1
6
10
12
Villanova
28-4
BE
16-2
8-2
6-3
-1
5
56
13
San Diego St.
29-4
MWC
16-2
8-2
3-3
-1
15
123
14
Creighton
26-7
BE
14-4
7-3
8-5
-1
10
43
15
Syracuse
27-5
ACC
14-4
5-5
7-2
-1
16
108
16
UCLA
26-8
P12
12-6
7-3
8-5
3
14
105
17
New Mexico
27-6
MWC
15-3
9-1
3-3
3
12
17
18
Connecticut
26-8
Amer
12-6
7-3
7-5
-1
22
78
19
Ohio St.
25-9
B10
10-8
6-4
6-5
-1
24
65
20
VCU
26-8
A10
12-4
7-3
5-5
-1
13
74
21
Oklahoma
23-9
B12
12-6
6-4
7-5
-1
26
70
22
Baylor
24-11
B12
9-9
8-2
8-9
-1
30
34
23
Texas
23-10
B12
11-7
5-5
6-8
-1
36
169
24
North Carolina
23-9
ACC
13-5
8-2
5-5
-2
25
36
25
Kentucky
24-10
SEC
12-6
5-5
4-6
-1
17
9
26
Cincinnati
27-6
Amer
15-3
6-4
6-5
-1
21
95
27
George Washington
24-8
A10
11-5
6-4
4-5
-1
29
134
28
Pittsburgh
25-9
ACC
11-7
5-5
2-7
-1
39
216
29
Saint Louis
26-6
A10
13-3
6-4
5-4
-1
27
101
30
Gonzaga
28-6
WCC
15-3
7-3
2-3
5
20
84
31
Saint Joseph's
24-9
A10
11-5
8-2
6-5
3
32
146
32
Oregon
23-9
P12
10-8
8-2
4-6
-1
28
47
33
Oklahoma St.
21-12
B12
8-10
5-5
4-10
-1
45
112
34
Memphis
23-9
Amer
12-6
6-4
4-7
-1
37
55
35
Providence
23-11
BE
10-8
7-3
3-6
3
40
194
36
Massachusetts
24-8
A10
10-6
6-4
7-4
-1
23
25
37
Colorado
23-11
P12
10-8
5-5
5-8
-1
34
50
38
Stanford
21-12
P12
10-8
6-4
5-9
-1
41
51
39
Tennessee
21-12
SEC
11-7
6-4
3-7
-1
42
42
40
Dayton
23-10
A10
10-6
8-2
4-6
-1
43
100
41
Kansas St.
20-12
B12
10-8
5-5
7-8
-3
51
143
42
Arizona St.
21-11
P12
10-8
5-5
4-7
-3
44
236
43
Nebraska
19-12
B10
11-7
8-2
4-7
-1
48
106
44
Xavier
21-12
BE
10-8
5-5
4-6
-1
47
89
45
Iowa
20-12
B10
9-9
3-7
5-9
-3
56
185
46
SMU
23-9
Amer
12-6
6-4
4-5
-3
53
295
47
Harvard
26-4
Ivy
13-1
9-1
0-2
8
46
204
48
North Dakota St.
25-6
Sum
12-2
9-1
0-2
9
35
15
49
Stephen F. Austin
31-2
Slnd
16-0
10-0
0-1
28
52
296
50
Green Bay
24-6
Horz
14-2
7-3
1-2
-1
58
52
51
Western Michigan
23-9
MAC
14-4
9-1
2-3
4
66
253
52
Manhattan
25-7
MAAC
15-5
9-1
0-1
5
60
186
53
Delaware
25-9
CAA
14-2
8-2
0-3
5
65
132
54
Tulsa
21-12
CUSA
13-3
10-0
1-3
11
73
64
55
North Carolina Central
28-5
MEAC
15-1
10-0
0-2
20
99
199
56
New Mexico St.
26-9
WAC
12-4
9-1
1-3
5
72
46
57
Eastern Kentucky
24-9
OVC
11-5
8-2
0-2
7
97
222
58
Mercer
26-8
ASun
14-4
8-2
0-2
4
81
77
59
Louisiana Lafayette
23-11
SB
11-7
8-2
0-2
4
90
66
60
American
20-12
Pat
13-5
6-4
0-1
3
118
281
61
Wofford
20-12
SC
11-5
8-2
0-3
3
153
16
62
Milwaukee
21-13
Horz
7-9
6-4
0-1
5
131
273
63
Weber St.
19-11
BSky
14-6
6-4
0-2
3
149
83
64
Coastal Carolina
21-12
BSth
11-5
8-2
0-1
5
196
232
65
Albany
18-14
AE
9-7
7-3
0-1
3
185
202
66
Mount St. Mary's
16-16
NEC
9-7
6-4
0-3
4
189
190
67
Cal Poly
13-19
BW
6-10
5-5
0-4
3
208
30
68
Texas Southern
19-14
SWAC
12-6
9-1
0-1
9
239
298
Virginia Florida Wichita St. Arizona
Iowa St. Kansas Duke Michigan
Wisconsin Louisville Michigan St. Villanova
UCLA Syracuse Creighton San Diego St.
Connecticut New Mexico Ohio St. VCU
North Carolina George Washington Oklahoma Baylor
Cincinnati Gonzaga Kentucky Pittsburgh
Saint Joseph's Texas Saint Louis Oklahoma St.
Providence Massachusetts Oregon Memphis
Tennessee Stanford Dayton Colorado
Arizona St. Nebraska Harvard North Dakota St.
Iowa / Green Bay Xavier / SMU Kansas St. Stephen F. Austin
Manhattan Delaware Western Michigan Tulsa
Eastern Kentucky North Carolina Central Mercer New Mexico St.
American Louisiana Lafayette Wofford Milwaukee
Albany / Texas Southern Coastal Carolina Mount St. Mary's / Cal Poly Weber St.
2014 Conference Tournament Schedule
Conference Date Place Winner
Atlantic 10 3/16/2014 Brooklyn, NY Saint Joseph's
ACC 3/16/2014 Greensboro, NC Virginia
America East 3/15/2014 Albany, NY Albany
American Athletic 3/15/2014 Memphis, TN Louisville
Atlantic Sun 3/9/2014 Highest Seed Mercer
Big Ten 3/16/2014 Indianapolis, IN Michigan St.
Big 12 3/15/2014 Kansas City, MO Iowa St.
Big East 3/15/2014 New York, NY Providence
Big Sky 3/15/2014 Season Champ Weber St.
Big South 3/9/2014 Conway, SC Coastal Carolina
Big West 3/15/2014 Anaheim, CA Cal Poly
Colonial 3/10/2014 Baltimore, MD Delaware
C-USA 3/15/2014 El Paso, TX Tulsa
Horizon 3/11/2014 Highest Seed Milwaukee
Ivy League     Harvard
MAAC 3/10/2014 Springfield, MA Manhattan
Mid American 3/15/2014 Cleveland, OH Western Michigan
MEAC 3/15/2014 Norfolk, VA North Carolina Central
Missouri Valley 3/9/2014 St. Louis, MO Wichita St.
Mountain West 3/15/2014 Las Vegas, NV New Mexico
Northeast 3/11/2014 Highest Seed Mount St. Mary's
Ohio Valley 3/8/2014 Nashville, TN Eastern Kentucky
Pac 12 3/15/2014 Las Vegas, NV UCLA
Patriot 3/12/2014 Highest Seed American
Sun Belt 3/16/2014 New Orleans, NO Louisiana Lafayette
Southern 3/10/2014 Asheville, NC Wofford
SEC 3/16/2014 Atlanta, GA Florida
Southland 3/15/2014 Katy, TX Stephen F. Austin
Summit 3/11/2014 Sioux Falls, SD North Dakota St.
SWAC 3/15/2014 Houston, TX Texas Southern
WAC 3/15/2014 Las Vegas, NV New Mexico St.
West Coast 3/11/2014 Las Vegas, NV Gonzaga

Hot Links

Ken Pomeroy for the scores of all games between 2003 and 2013 as without this valuable information this site would not be possible.
Website: http://kenpom.com/rate.php
Scores: http://kenpom.com/cbbga14.txt

Jay Coleman of the University of North Florida, Mike DuMond of Charles River Associates, and Allen Lynch of Mercer University for their website DanceCard. Their findings inspired the idea to expand on their thinking by developing a probability formula and computerized seeding process.
Website: http://www.unf.edu/~jcoleman/dance.htm

The NCAA for providing the Principles and Procedures for Establishing the Bracket (pdf) which was followed as closely as possible to establish computerized criteria to select and seed teams.
Website: http://www.ncaa.com/sports/m-baskbl/champpage/m-baskbl-div1-index.html
(pdf): http://www.ncaa.com/sites/default/files/files/BracketPrin-Proc10-5-10.pdf

Jerry P. Palm for providing the official RPI formula. The computer for Seed Madness calculates RPI using the formula provided. This calculation is a perfect match to the official calculation done by Mr. Palm that is provided to the NCAA selection committee for their use during selection weekend for which goes into the final product announced on Selection Sunday.
Website: http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/rankings/rpi/index1

Other sites of interest

Bracket Science™ is a site dedicated to helping millions of fans fill out their bracket pools every year. It's got almost every statistic possible covering all the NCAA tournaments since the field expanded to 64 teams in 1985. Bracket Science™ was created by Pete Tiernan and contains a myriad of information and contests.
Website: http://www.bracketscience.com/

ESPN Bracketology with Joe Lunardi. Joe Lunardi is the resident bracketologist for ESPN. In fact, he invented Bracketology and has been projecting the NCAA Tournament field for ESPN.com since its inception.
Website: http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/bracketology

The Bracket Project - The 2014 Bracket Matrix. A Look at the Projected 2014 NCAA Basketball Tournament Bracket. The Matrix tracks other brackets all across the web -- updated everyday.
Website: http://bracketproject.blogspot.com/

warrennolan.com Real time updates of scores and statistics including RPI and SOS. Lots of predictions included.
Website: http://www.warrennolan.com/basketball/2014/index

* Please note that the seedings above may vary slightly from the official seedings due to an attempt to follow the NCAA's Principles and Procedures concerning conference balance while filling out regions. The actual predicted seed of each team is listed in the Top 68 rankings on the left.
Distance to the Regionals

We are tracking the top seeds and the distance they are from the regional sites. We will take the number 1 team in the nation and put them in the closest site to their campus and proceed to do the same for 2 - 16. Here is how it all looks as of today.

1-Florida     2-Arizona     3-Wichita St.     4-Virginia  
Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles
Gainesville-New York 899   Tucson-New York 2120   Wichita-New York 1265   Charlottesville-New York 303
Gainesville-Memphis 585   Tucson-Memphis 1220   Wichita-Memphis 445   Charlottesville-Memphis 670
Gainesville-Indianapolis 737   Tucson-Indianapolis 1477   Wichita-Indianapolis 621   Charlottesville-Indianapolis 430
Gainesville-Anaheim 2100   Tucson-Anaheim 417   Wichita-Anaheim 1181   Charlottesville-Anaheim 2210
                     
5-Kansas     6-Duke     7-Iowa St.     8-Michigan  
Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles
Lawrence-New York 1133   Durham-New York 423   Ames-New York 1021   Ann Arbor-New York 516
Lawrence-Memphis 393   Durham-Memphis 626   Ames-Memphis 516   Ann Arbor-Memphis 597
Lawrence-Indianapolis 490   Durham-Indianapolis 476   Ames-Indianapolis 419   Ann Arbor-Indianapolis 208
Lawrence-Anaheim 1305   Durham-Anaheim 2201   Ames-Anaheim 1432   Ann Arbor-Anaheim 1934
                     
9-Michigan St.     10-Louisville     11-Wisconsin     12-Villanova  
Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles
East Lansing-New York 558   Louisville-New York 649   Madison-New York 808   Villanova-New York 87
East Lansing-Memphis 603   Louisville-Memphis 319   Madison-Memphis 550   Villanova-Memphis 869
East Lansing-Indianapolis 217   Louisville-Indianapolis 115   Madison-Indianapolis 278   Villanova-Indianapolis 572
East Lansing-Anaheim 1901   Louisville-Anaheim 1816   Madison-Anaheim 1660   Villanova-Anaheim 2368
                     
13-San Diego St.     14-Creighton     15-Syracuse     16-UCLA  
Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles Campus-Regional Miles
San Diego-New York 2429   Omaha-New York 1150   Syracuse-New York 194   Los Angeles-New York 2451
San Diego-Memphis 1562   Omaha-Memphis 534   Syracuse-Memphis 921   Los Angeles-Memphis 1607
San Diego-Indianapolis 1786   Omaha-Indianapolis 529   Syracuse-Indianapolis 562   Los Angeles-Indianapolis 1810
San Diego-Anaheim 86   Omaha-Anaheim 1297   Syracuse-Anaheim 2323   Los Angeles-Anaheim 26
                     
Bubble Watch
IN/OUT
Rank
Team
Overall
Record
Conf
Conf
Record
Last 10
Record
Top 50
Record
W/L
Streak
RPI
OOC
SOS
IN
29
Dayton
23-10
A10
10-6
8-2
4-6
-1
43
100
IN
30
Kansas St.
20-12
B12
10-8
5-5
7-8
-3
51
143
IN
31
Arizona St.
21-11
P12
10-8
5-5
4-7
-3
44
236
IN
32
Nebraska
19-12
B10
11-7
8-2
4-7
-1
48
106
IN
33
Iowa
20-12
B10
9-9
3-7
5-9
-3
56
185
IN
34
Xavier
21-12
BE
10-8
5-5
4-6
-1
47
89
IN
35
SMU
23-9
Amer
12-6
6-4
4-5
-3
53
295
IN
36
Green Bay
24-6
Horz
14-2
7-3
1-2
-1
58
52
OUT
37
BYU
23-11
WCC
13-5
8-2
3-6
-1
31
4
OUT
38
North Carolina St.
21-13
ACC
9-9
5-5
3-9
-1
55
107
OUT
39
Missouri
22-11
SEC
9-9
6-4
2-4
-1
49
127
OUT
40
Florida St.
19-13
ACC
9-9
5-5
3-9
-1
54
91
OUT
41
Minnesota
20-13
B10
8-10
5-5
2-8
-1
50
49
OUT
42
St. John's
20-12
BE
10-8
7-3
2-9
-1
67
140
OUT
43
California
19-13
P12
10-8
4-6
4-10
-1
63
104
OUT
44
Southern Miss
27-6
CUSA
13-3
7-3
1-1
-1
33
154
In The Mix
IN/OUT
Rank
Team
Overall
Record
Conf
Conf
Record
Last 10
Record
Top 50
Record
W/L
Streak
RPI
OOC
SOS
OUT
45
Louisiana Tech
27-7
CUSA
13-3
8-2
2-2
-1
62
277
OUT
46
Georgetown
17-14
BE
8-10
5-5
5-7
-2
69
24
OUT
47
Saint Mary's
22-11
WCC
11-7
6-4
1-5
-1
61
63
OUT
48
Belmont
24-9
OVC
14-2
8-2
1-2
-1
57
33
OUT
49
Iona
22-10
MAAC
17-3
8-2
0-2
-1
59
39
OUT
50
San Francisco
21-11
WCC
13-5
7-3
0-6
-1
68
72
OUT
51
Middle Tennessee
24-9
CUSA
13-3
8-2
1-2
-1
64
109
OUT
52
Toledo
27-6
MAC
14-4
7-3
0-1
-1
38
161
OUT
53
Illinois
19-14
B10
7-11
6-4
4-9
-1
70
207
OUT
54
Arkansas
21-11
SEC
10-8
7-3
3-5
-2
77
205
OUT
55
Utah
21-11
P12
9-9
6-4
4-8
-1
80
341
OUT
56
Maryland
17-15
ACC
9-9
4-6
2-9
-1
78
13
OUT
57
Richmond
19-14
A10
8-8
4-6
3-9
-1
75
85
OUT
58
Clemson
20-12
ACC
10-8
5-5
1-7
-1
79
270
OUT
59
Georgia
19-13
SEC
12-6
7-3
2-7
-1
74
139
OUT
60
West Virginia
17-15
B12
9-9
4-6
4-12
-1
88
214
OUT
61
Indiana St.
23-10
MVC
12-6
6-4
0-4
-1
71
206
OUT
62
LSU
19-13
SEC
9-9
4-6
3-6
-1
83
170
OUT
63
Marquette
17-15
BE
9-9
5-5
3-12
-4
92
166
OUT
64
Boise St.
21-13
MWC
9-9
6-4
1-6
-1
82
71
CONFERENCE RPI RANKINGS
Rank
Conf
RPI
Bids
Rank
Conf
RPI
Bids
Rank
Conf
RPI
Bids
1
B12
0.5812
7
11
MVC
0.5129
1
22
BW
0.4676
1
2
B10
0.5737
6
12
MAC
0.5085
1
23
ASun
0.4626
1
3
P12
0.5695
6
13
CUSA
0.4974
1
24
OVC
0.4593
1
4
BE
0.5645
4
14
Horz
0.4936
2
25
BSky
0.4549
1
5
ACC
0.5573
5
15
CAA
0.4901
1
26
NEC
0.4538
1
6
A10
0.5565
6
16
MAAC
0.4884
1
27
Slnd
0.4497
1
7
SEC
0.5494
3
17
Sum
0.4867
1
28
BSth
0.4442
1
8
Amer
0.5449
5
18
Ivy
0.4817
1
29
AE
0.4401
1
9
WCC
0.5330
1
19
SB
0.4815
1
30
SC
0.4382
1
10
MWC
0.5266
2
20
Pat
0.4757
1
31
MEAC
0.4253
1
21
WAC
0.4676
1
32
SWAC
0.4249
1
Last 4 In
Iowa
Xavier
SMU
Green Bay
First 4 Out
BYU
North Carolina St.
Missouri
Florida St.

Top 20 Lists

POINTS PER GAME
1-
 VMI
 87.6
2-
 Northwestern St.
 86.6
3-
 BYU
 84.2
4-
 Iona
 83.5
5-
 Southeast Missouri St.
 82.9
6-
 Iowa St.
 82.8
7-
 Oklahoma
 82.1
8-
 Louisville
 82.1
9-
 Iowa
 82.0
10-
 Oregon
 81.8
11-
 UCLA
 81.8
12-
 Louisiana Lafayette
 81.4
13-
 Charleston Southern
 81.3
14-
 Louisiana Tech
 81.0
15-
 Oklahoma St.
 80.3
16-
 Arkansas
 80.2
17-
 Belmont
 80.1
18-
 Nebraska Omaha
 80.1
19-
 Hawaii
 79.9
20-
 Toledo
 79.8
ALLOWED PER GAME
1-
 Virginia
 55.2
2-
 San Diego St.
 56.6
3-
 Florida
 57.9
4-
 Clemson
 57.9
5-
 Arizona
 58.1
6-
 Cincinnati
 58.3
7-
 North Carolina Central
 58.4
8-
 American
 58.6
9-
 Syracuse
 59.5
10-
 Miami FL
 59.5
11-
 Wichita St.
 59.5
12-
 Ohio St.
 59.7
13-
 Harvard
 60.5
14-
 Vermont
 60.5
15-
 Louisville
 60.9
16-
 Tennessee
 61.0
17-
 Saint Louis
 61.2
18-
 Eastern Michigan
 61.3
19-
 Wyoming
 61.7
20-
 SMU
 62.2
MARGIN PER GAME
1-
 Louisville
 21.1
2-
 Wichita St.
 15.8
3-
 Louisiana Tech
 15.6
4-
 North Carolina Central
 15.3
5-
 Arizona
 14.9
6-
 San Diego St.
 13.9
7-
 Stephen F. Austin
 13.8
8-
 Harvard
 13.1
9-
 Mercer
 12.9
10-
 Florida
 12.7
11-
 Creighton
 12.1
12-
 Villanova
 11.9
13-
 Iowa
 11.9
14-
 Gonzaga
 11.8
15-
 Duke
 11.5
16-
 Utah
 11.5
17-
 Oklahoma St.
 11.2
18-
 UCLA
 11.0
19-
 North Dakota St.
 11.0
20-
 Green Bay
 10.6
WIN STREAK
1-
 Wichita St.
 34
2-
 Stephen F. Austin
 28
3-
 Florida
 26
4-
 North Carolina Central
 20
5-
 Tulsa
 11
6-
 North Dakota St.
 9
7-
 Texas Southern
 9
8-
 Harvard
 8
9-
 Eastern Kentucky
 7
10-
 Coastal Carolina
 5
11-
 Delaware
 5
12-
 Gonzaga
 5
13-
 Louisville
 5
14-
 Manhattan
 5
15-
 Milwaukee
 5
16-
 New Mexico St.
 5
17-
 Princeton
 5
18-
 Iowa St.
 4
19-
 Louisiana Lafayette
 4
20-
 Mercer
 4
LAST 10 GAMES
1-
 Florida
 10-0
2-
 North Carolina Central
 10-0
3-
 Stephen F. Austin
 10-0
4-
 Tulsa
 10-0
5-
 Wichita St.
 10-0
6-
 Davidson
 9-1
7-
 Harvard
 9-1
8-
 Louisville
 9-1
9-
 Manhattan
 9-1
10-
 New Mexico
 9-1
11-
 New Mexico St.
 9-1
12-
 North Dakota St.
 9-1
13-
 Texas Southern
 9-1
14-
 Vermont
 9-1
15-
 Virginia
 9-1
16-
 Wagner
 9-1
17-
 Western Michigan
 9-1
18-
 Baylor
 8-2
19-
 Belmont
 8-2
20-
 Boston University
 8-2


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